Long ago, back in the Dream Times… the evil capitalist pig dog Yanks got into trouble in the Philippines when they got into the brown stuff with the locals. At the time the military used the 38 Long Colt and the local Moras were soaking them up like a sponge with the aid of drugs. The guys emptied their revolvers into them… but the coked up Moras could take it long enough to inflict serious harm on the Yanks. Clearly a new pistol round was needed and St. Thompson (General Thompson to you filthy atheists, inventor of the Tommy Gun) decided they’d decide on a new round for the military based on science.
Legend has it that he and his men hung up “slaughter beeves” and shot them with various calibres and the one that made them dance around the most would be the winner. Eventually they settled on the 45 ACP as furnished by John Moses Browning. Years later St. Cooper would proclaim it the best blend of firepower and controllability, superior to all others, especially the beshitted faggy Euro 9mm.
25ACP
# of people shot - 68 # of hits - 150 % of hits that were fatal - 25% Average number of rounds until incapacitation - 2.2 % of people who were not incapacitated - 35% One-shot-stop % - 30% Accuracy (head and torso hits) - 62% % actually incapacitated by one shot (torso or head hit) - 49%
.22 (short, long and long rifle)
# of people shot - 154 # of hits - 213 % of hits that were fatal - 34% Average number of rounds until incapacitation - 1.38 % of people who were not incapacitated - 31% One-shot-stop % - 31% Accuracy (head and torso hits) - 76% % actually incapacitated by one shot (torso or head hit) - 60%
.32 (both .32 Long and .32 ACP)
# of people shot - 25 # of hits - 38 % of hits that were fatal - 21% Average number of rounds until incapacitation - 1.52 % of people who were not incapacitated - 40% One-shot-stop % - 40% Accuracy (head and torso hits) - 78% % actually incapacitated by one shot (torso or head hit) - 72%
.380 ACP
# of people shot - 85 # of hits - 150 % of hits that were fatal - 29% Average number of rounds until incapacitation - 1.76 % of people who were not incapacitated - 16% One-shot-stop % - 44% Accuracy (head and torso hits) - 76% % actually incapacitated by one shot (torso or head hit) - 62%
.38 Special
# of people shot - 199 # of hits - 373 % of hits that were fatal - 29% Average number of rounds until incapacitation - 1.87 % of people who were not incapacitated - 17% One-shot-stop % - 39% Accuracy (head and torso hits) - 76% % actually incapacitated by one shot (torso or head hit) - 55%
9mm Luger
# of people shot - 456 # of hits - 1121 % of hits that were fatal - 24% Average number of rounds until incapacitation - 2.45 % of people who were not incapacitated - 13% One-shot-stop % - 34% Accuracy (head and torso hits) - 74% % actually incapacitated by one shot (torso or head hit) - 47%
.357 (both magnum and Sig)
# of people shot - 105 # of hits - 179 % of hits that were fatal - 34% Average number of rounds until incapacitation - 1.7 % of people who were not incapacitated - 9% One-shot-stop % - 44% Accuracy (head and torso hits) - 81% % actually incapacitated by one shot (torso or head hit) - 61%
.40 S&W
# of people shot - 188 # of hits - 443 % of hits that were fatal - 25% Average number of rounds until incapacitation - 2.36 % of people who were not incapacitated - 13% One-shot-stop % - 45% Accuracy (head and torso hits) - 76% % actually incapacitated by one shot (torso or head hit) - 52%
.45 ACP
# of people shot - 209 # of hits - 436 % of hits that were fatal - 29% Average number of rounds until incapacitation - 2.08 % of people who were not incapacitated - 14% One-shot-stop % - 39% Accuracy (head and torso hits) - 85% % actually incapacitated by one shot (torso or head hit) - 51%
.44 Magnum
# of people shot - 24 # of hits - 41 % of hits that were fatal - 26% Average number of rounds until incapacitation - 1.71 % of people who were not incapacitated - 13% One-shot-stop % - 59% Accuracy (head and torso hits) - 88% % actually incapacitated by one shot (torso or head hit) - 53%
Rifle (all Centerfire)
# of people shot - 126 # of hits - 176 % of hits that were fatal - 68% Average number of rounds until incapacitation - 1.4 % of people who were not incapacitated - 9% One-shot-stop % - 58% Accuracy (head and torso hits) - 81% % actually incapacitated by one shot (torso or head hit) - 80%
Shotgun (All, but 90% of results were 12 gauge)
# of people shot - 146 # of hits - 178 % of hits that were fatal - 65% Average number of rounds until incapacitation - 1.22 % of people who were not incapacitated - 12% One-shot-stop % - 58% Accuracy (head and torso hits) - 84% % actually incapacitated by one shot (torso or head hit) - 86%
Years later comprehensive statistical analyses would seem to contradict Jeff Cooper and Glen Filthie. (This one was a chit house study by some dude based on his local community) but larger, more formidable studies seemed to confirm that the good ol’ 45 and the 9mm were producing very comparable numbers for one shot stops.
Back in the 80s somebody did a BIG study based on the entire FBI database of shooting victims. I wish I could remember who did it? I used to think these studies were the last word in handgun stopping power. I distrusted arbitrary formulas and theories generated in the lab by the tall foreheads. Largely because of stuff like this:
Now I love Scott. I love the Kentucky villains that torment him on the gun range, and I love seeing commie watermelons and loathesome eggplants get their just desserts. But… here we see the problem of static lab studies: the snubbies are getting the same performance as the longer barreled guns. Or slightly better…(the proper thing to do there is haul out the chronograph but Scott hates them and shoots them on sight too!)
😂👍
We got into an interesting discussion about stopping power a couple poosts back… and I wonder if there even IS a proper way to study it? Looking at the table above… if enough hacks and bums carry 45s and use them…they are going to pull the numbers down. If enough experienced shooters are using 44 Mag… they’ll pull the numbers up. If the 9mm’s are mostly shot by black baboons, druggies and pimps that hold their guns sideways…you get the idea. Is the statistical study useful…? I am beginning to have my doubts…🤨
In the real world of deer hunting… or for law enforceMINT, I suppose…at some point stopping power becomes irrelevant. Ya can’t kill them any deader than DEAD.
Ughhhh. Matters like this are best discussed round the campfire with a flask and a pipe. I am already getting cabin fever…
Advances in bullet design has allowed the 9mm, the 380 acp, and the 38 special to become an acceptable choice for self defense. One advantage the 9mm has over the 45 is the number of rounds that can be loaded into a magazine.
I think the bigger issue is that absent a hit on the head, heart or spine, if you're anywhere near an ER and only got one or two holes in you, you're going live regardless of caliber. Better ER docs outweigh pretty much all other factors.
2004/2005 +/- H&K MP5K. 3x mags of 30 rounds of 147grn +P JHP Hydroshocks... like the branded version. (the H&K wasn't fond of HP but that's what was available)
A favored sidearm, a Browning M1935 Hi-Power, 13 rounds, loaded w/the same. THAT thing ate anything! (A former Iraqi Police handgun from my understanding)
There was an 'incident' where 4 perps decided some folks looked like head-chopping material. After a brief pursuit, They (the Haj-in-Question) were violently disabused of this notion succinctly.
Once the firefight was done, there may-or-may not have been the standard 'double tap' to insure some folks safety as it was a volatile situation, and the individuals in question weren't soldiers but (supposed-to-unarmed) Contractors... never mind 'those guys' had been outnumbered 2-1
Needless to say, 2x 9mm JHP at a range of about 5-10 feet, well grouped into a casaba melon does the job quite well. Dental records would have been hard pressed to ID the perps. LOTS of arterial spray and scattered pieces-parts... (After the first time, it's no longer a war crime. In Minecraft of course...)
Well I actually agree completely. If you are a squaddy or a cop that actually has to fight with a gun under very adverse conditions... the 9mm is a no brainer.
If you are a gun club duffer and a stubfart bent on traditionalism and shoot paper and cans... we have a little more leeway when it comes to armaMINT.... HAR HAR HAR!!!
Ball ammo is for PENETRATION practice (and other, special applications). Premium ammo is for stopping threats or food. No matter what caliber. Placement is king. AnnounceMENT! Just swapped for a like new foreign Commander with all the Brown/Wilson developed extras (rowel hammer, memory bump beaver tail grip safety, ambi safety, 3 dot sites, long super trigger and last but not least, a bobtail grip!). Feels just like a 1911, only better. So, how foreign is it? Turkish, Tisas. Fit and finish is xlnt. What did I trade? A middle 90's Glock 26. Will the Tisas function? I'll find out tomorrow on my home 0 to 160 yd range. Glen, you can have them in Tennessee.
There is a lot of criticism of Marshall and Sanow's methodology in determining the One-Shot statistics. In a nutshell, the low sample sizes, confounding with human-factors (both in the shooter and the target) and the dependence on self-reported data.
Fackler, a major critic, also pointed out that some later editions of Marshall and Sanow's work showed fewer shootings of certain cartridges than earlier works. Not sure how that works.
In the for-what-it-is-worth department, any shot into an average sized dude's "trunk" (from any angle) has a 20% chance of thunking into his spinal column and disrupting motor function IF the projectile has enough mass and momentum.
My gut-feel is that .380 ACP is on the skinny side of that mass/momentum "for any angle" while a 158 +p .38 Special launched at 800fps is just over line.
Opinions are like ass-holes. Everybody has at least one.
Yep. There are so many variables that go into it... but it seems to me that as gunnies and especially reloaders or shooters with a serious interest in ballistic performance... it's easy to get drawn into the reeds with minutae of each case. All those variables can wildly skew the results. You have to look at the perp in these things: how committed is he to malfeasance - the vast majority are feral dogs that will take to their heels at the sight of a gun. There is his mental state - is he high on drugs? What kind? What kind of clothing is he wearing? What load did you shoot him with? How good a shot is the shooter? What was his mental state?
I originally thought that expanding the sample size by magnitudes might smooth out statistical anomalies and outliers but now... upon serious thought... I am not so sure. There may be too many variables with too large an impact to study the problem this way...?
Then we can fight about bullet expansion vs bullet penetration as per Scott's observations...
Not trying to tell anyone what to think... I am just thinking out loud myself is all...
Advances in bullet design has allowed the 9mm, the 380 acp, and the 38 special to become an acceptable choice for self defense. One advantage the 9mm has over the 45 is the number of rounds that can be loaded into a magazine.
ReplyDeleteFor a light carry pistol S&W 38 revolver or Glock 43x 9mm
ReplyDeleteI think the bigger issue is that absent a hit on the head, heart or spine, if you're anywhere near an ER and only got one or two holes in you, you're going live regardless of caliber. Better ER docs outweigh pretty much all other factors.
ReplyDeleteA single round of .380acp is responsible for the shit show that was the 20th century
ReplyDelete2004/2005 +/-
ReplyDeleteH&K MP5K. 3x mags of 30 rounds of 147grn +P JHP Hydroshocks... like the branded version. (the H&K wasn't fond of HP but that's what was available)
A favored sidearm, a Browning M1935 Hi-Power, 13 rounds, loaded w/the same. THAT thing ate anything! (A former Iraqi Police handgun from my understanding)
There was an 'incident' where 4 perps decided some folks looked like head-chopping material. After a brief pursuit, They (the Haj-in-Question) were violently disabused of this notion succinctly.
Once the firefight was done, there may-or-may not have been the standard 'double tap' to insure some folks safety as it was a volatile situation, and the individuals in question weren't soldiers but (supposed-to-unarmed) Contractors... never mind 'those guys' had been outnumbered 2-1
Needless to say, 2x 9mm JHP at a range of about 5-10 feet, well grouped into a casaba melon does the job quite well. Dental records would have been hard pressed to ID the perps. LOTS of arterial spray and scattered pieces-parts... (After the first time, it's no longer a war crime. In Minecraft of course...)
Jes' Sayin"
Well I actually agree completely. If you are a squaddy or a cop that actually has to fight with a gun under very adverse conditions... the 9mm is a no brainer.
DeleteIf you are a gun club duffer and a stubfart bent on traditionalism and shoot paper and cans... we have a little more leeway when it comes to armaMINT.... HAR HAR HAR!!!
A single round from a .380 acp pistol caused 90% of the wars of the 20th century
ReplyDeleteSt Cooper, after speaking with God Himself, later in life brought forth the Ultimate HandgunCaliber...the Blessed 10mm. And it was good.
ReplyDeleteNo shit. That calibre should be ten times more popular than it is... as should the 41 magnum, as a matter of fact.
DeleteIn my next life I will go 10mm all the way.
Ball ammo is for PENETRATION practice (and other, special applications). Premium ammo is for stopping threats or food. No matter what caliber. Placement is king.
ReplyDeleteAnnounceMENT! Just swapped for a like new foreign Commander with all the Brown/Wilson developed extras (rowel hammer, memory bump beaver tail grip safety, ambi safety, 3 dot sites, long super trigger and last but not least, a bobtail grip!). Feels just like a 1911, only better. So, how foreign is it? Turkish, Tisas. Fit and finish is xlnt. What did I trade? A middle 90's Glock 26. Will the Tisas function? I'll find out tomorrow on my home 0 to 160 yd range. Glen, you can have them in Tennessee.
There is a lot of criticism of Marshall and Sanow's methodology in determining the One-Shot statistics. In a nutshell, the low sample sizes, confounding with human-factors (both in the shooter and the target) and the dependence on self-reported data.
ReplyDeleteFackler, a major critic, also pointed out that some later editions of Marshall and Sanow's work showed fewer shootings of certain cartridges than earlier works. Not sure how that works.
In the for-what-it-is-worth department, any shot into an average sized dude's "trunk" (from any angle) has a 20% chance of thunking into his spinal column and disrupting motor function IF the projectile has enough mass and momentum.
My gut-feel is that .380 ACP is on the skinny side of that mass/momentum "for any angle" while a 158 +p .38 Special launched at 800fps is just over line.
Opinions are like ass-holes. Everybody has at least one.
Yep. There are so many variables that go into it... but it seems to me that as gunnies and especially reloaders or shooters with a serious interest in ballistic performance... it's easy to get drawn into the reeds with minutae of each case. All those variables can wildly skew the results. You have to look at the perp in these things: how committed is he to malfeasance - the vast majority are feral dogs that will take to their heels at the sight of a gun. There is his mental state - is he high on drugs? What kind? What kind of clothing is he wearing? What load did you shoot him with? How good a shot is the shooter? What was his mental state?
DeleteI originally thought that expanding the sample size by magnitudes might smooth out statistical anomalies and outliers but now... upon serious thought... I am not so sure. There may be too many variables with too large an impact to study the problem this way...?
Then we can fight about bullet expansion vs bullet penetration as per Scott's observations...
Not trying to tell anyone what to think... I am just thinking out loud myself is all...
The Las Vegas Trump tower Tesla guy. Claiming he used a 50 AE would sure cover a 5.56 wound....
ReplyDelete